![]() Examples include stock market crashes, battlefields and natural disasters.ĪI in decision making depends on time and complexityĪpplying the dimensions of time and complexity together can enable leaders to assess individual decisions and determine the value and feasibility of automating, augmenting or supporting them.Īutomation is an appealing option for simple decisions that need to be made within a few seconds up to 15 minutes. Decision making is very difficult and requires experimentation and learning by doing. Small changes may have seemingly disproportionate impacts. Chaotic situations have unknown causes and effects, with unclear or dynamic interdependencies.Supply chain disruptions are one example. Complex situations involve multiple relationships and interdependencies, and effective analysis requires a systemic or holistic approach, with simulations to see how decisions can affect far-flung elements.Examples include insurance fraud, asset management and marketing campaigning. Complicated situations require expertise or analysis to identify cause and effect, often using expertise with a known problem-solving practice.Examples include payroll processing or call center routing. Simple situations are stable and predictable, and operate according to clear cause and effect.The time span varies between microseconds, in the case of high-frequency stock trading weeks, in the case of pay decisions and months or even years, in the case of a strategic merger or acquisition.Ĭomplexity likewise operates on a continuum - mapped by the so-called Cynefin framework, for example, as extending from simple to complicated, complex and chaotic: The dimension of time refers to the span between when the organization recognizes a threat or opportunity, and when it decides what to do about it and acts. Whether a decision can be or should be AI automated, augmented or supported depends on two key variables: time, or how quickly the organization needs a decision and complexity. Its main benefit lies in the combined application of data-driven insights and human knowledge, expertise and common sense, including “gut feel” and emotions.ĭownload eBook: The Future of Decisions Know when to deploy AI in decision making Human employees make the decision, supported by descriptive, diagnostic or predictive analytics. Its benefits lie in the synergy between human knowledge and the capability of AI to rapidly analyze high volumes of data and to deal with complexity. ![]() The system recommends a decision, or multiple decision alternatives, to human actors using prescriptive or predictive analytics. Its benefits include speed, scalability and consistency of decision making. The system makes the decision using prescriptive analytics or predictive analytics. The differences lie in the analytics techniques used at various points in the decision process, and who (or what) ultimately makes the decision: Similarly, AI in decision making has its place.ĭecision automation, decision augmentation and decision support represent the degrees to which AI and analytics can be deployed to pursue faster, more consistent, more adaptable and higher-quality decisions at scale. Humans may not be totally reliable or consistent in decision making, but they still bring important competencies to the table. Related webinar: Leverage AI to Boost Decision Intelligence for Better Business Outcomes Different degrees of AI in decision making “Moreover, the decisions that we make today can’t be based on yesterday’s situation awareness they must reflect the here and now.” “With continually more dynamics and complexity in modern-day business - especially digital business - our capabilities must improve to make the best possible decision in the shortest possible time, in a scalable, risk-conscious, consistent, adaptive and personalized fashion,” says Pieter den Hamer, Sr. In short, decision making can’t keep up with the fast-changing context in which business decisions are being made today. A recent Gartner survey found that 65% of decisions made are more complex - involving more stakeholders or choices - than they were two years ago. Let’s consider first why it’s so hard to make good decisions today, and why AI could help. Would injecting AI in decision making about pay improve the outcome? More on that later. And yet only 40% of employees believe their pay is fair. Pay rates often reflect management discretion and intangible contributions valued by managers. People make a lot of decisions in today’s organizations.
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![]() Not The Only PlayerĪs noted, Patagonia is hardly the only brand in this niche. It will work in these situations as a mid-layer though, under a shell jacket. However, in all but the coldest temps this getup is too warm for all-out aerobic pursuits like skate-skiing and running on snow for those activities, there are better options that are also cut and articulated for the sports.įurther, this is a bad choice for downhill skiing and snowboarding, as well as most winter biking, where constant wind from movement and the pull of gravity make the hoody and pants too cold. The Patagonia pieces require a shell jacket in bad weather, as discussed more below.Ī sweater-like piece, the hoody top was made for skinning in the backcountry, ice climbing (but not on dripping falls), and for general high-output sports on sub-freezing days. This jacket is not a replacement for your (much less breathable) down puffy coat. If you’re standing around, look elsewhere. I’d sleep in them, too, as the materials are all soft, quiet, and would add nice warmth in a sleeping bag. Put the Nano pants and top on and leave them there these are all-day pieces. Though light weight - the hoody is about 11 ounces, the pants, 9.7 ounces (in a men’s size large) - the insulated pieces don’t pack up super small like wind-shell styles. There’s a zipper fly but little else, including only minimal articulation, no pockets, and light elasticized ankle cuffs that cause almost zero inference with a boot. On the pants, a simple drawstring is used for a belt. Nano-Air Light Pants Patagonia Nano-Air Light Pants But the half-length zipper is nice once you’re moving - with no hand pockets and no zipper to the waist backpacks and climbing harnesses are not encumbered. It fits under or over a helmet, depending on the hard-hat size. When gloveless on above-freezing days, I often wished there was a place to put my hands. There’s only one pocket, a zip-up on the chest. The feel of the fabric, which has a little stretch, is reminiscent more of a sweatshirt than a technical outerwear piece. The jacket is comfortable from its soft wrist cuffs to its ensconcing hood. If I was moving hard, the hoody worked with a single base layer underneath in temps down to about 15 degrees. In my use, the new Nano-Air Light was undeniably more breathable than similar mid-weight jackets I own. The result, Patagonia cites, is a jacket that is 75% more breathable and 33% less insulating than the first Nano-Air Hoody. The 2016 model adds the word “Light” to its name and cuts back the dose of polyester insulation inside. (GearJunkie gave it a ‘Top Gear’ Of The Year nod two years ago.) Patagonia Nano-Air Light Hoody The hoody is less warm than its predecessor, the lauded Nano-Air Hoody. Overall, the Patagonia Nano-Air Light Hoody ($249) and its accompanying Nano-Air Light Pants ($149) work well for winter days where you’re on the move. I tested it out through a range of temps for this review. It is marketed to the “highest-exertion mountain athletes.” But I found even normal winter-lovers like myself benefit by suiting up in the air-permeable top. The company touts the Nano-Air Light as having a “breathable warmth” quality, meaning it can keep you warm when stationary but will mitigate sweat and body heat if you’re going aerobic on the snow. The variable conditions cuffs have sleek, stretch-knit insets that allow you to push on a lightweight shell and feel the thermal properties of the Nano-Air skyrocket.Super breathable, warm and quick drying, the Patagonia Nano-Air is one of the best all-around insulating jackets we have reviewed. The center-front zipper has a zipper garage for comfort on your chin. Two handwarmer pockets and a chest pocket all close with trim, low-bulk zippers. The trim, stretchy hood is designed for next-to-noggin use, though it'll still fit snugly over low-profile helmets. It's a new standard for technical insulation, merging the comfort and breathability of open fleece with the protection and warmth of a puffy while using recycled inputs to the greatest possible degree. Even better, it's upped the recycled material content throughout the Nano-Air, from the lightweight, weather-shedding shell, to the comfortable plain-weave liner, to Patagonia's warm-when-wet FullRange insulation - all with zero sacrifice in performance. The Mens Nano-Air Hoody from Patagonia is a warm, stretchy, breathable layer you can put on and leave on through high-output, stop-and-go activities in cold weather. |
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